James Harden
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 11.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 11.5 Reb+Ast hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.6–15.4 reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMinutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 233.6 on average (8 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
PHI 16th, CLE 7th of 30
Splits
Under 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 11.5 · L10Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
Reb+Ast: 8 in 33 min, Oct 22 (away)
Under 11.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against PHI on record
L10 · Under 11.5
- Average
- 10.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 10
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −3155 books | +1901 book | 4/10 | |
| −1651 book | +1251 book | 6/10 | |
| −1306 books | −1204 books | 6/10 | |
| +2355 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +15002 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX2 min ago | −130 | −105Best |
| Bovada2 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −108Best | −122 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −130 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −130 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5Under: −132 → −120 since first seen