Jamal Murray
TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 28.5 without him: 12 of 22; with him: 34 of 65 (87 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 38.6 min · 2025–26: 35.7 (81 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 231.5 (6 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)
Game log against Over 28.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 28.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 28.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 28.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Pts+Reb: 36 in 40 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 28.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 28.5
- Average
- 29.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 26.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 38.6
- 10 games · 35.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 28.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 4/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 28.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 28.5 | Under 28.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
28.5−118 → −114 since first seen


