Jamal Murray

Denver Nuggets · G · #27

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1581 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 22; with him: 33 of 65 (87 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
TOR allow 8.9 threes made a game to guards: 6th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 38.6 min · 2025–26: 35.7 (81 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 0, missed, 35 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 3, cleared, 42 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 39 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 40 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 37 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 8, cleared, 43 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 7, cleared, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 39 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 40 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −158
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Minutes: 38.6; 10 games · 35.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	7/10
−5001 book	—	7/10
−1581 book	+1181 book	6/10
+1681 book	—	4/10
+4101 book	—	3/10
+8701 book	—	2/10
+15001 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−158Best	+118Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−146 → −158 since first seen

Jamal Murray's full game log and splits