Jamal Murray

Denver Nuggets · G · #27

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1061 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 4.5 without him: 13 of 22; with him: 32 of 65 (87 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
TOR allow 16.4 rebounds a game to guards: 13th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 38.6 min · 2025–26: 35.7 (81 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

60%6 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 3, missed, 35 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 5, cleared, 42 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 4, missed, 39 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 6, cleared, 40 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 10, cleared, 37 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 43 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 6, cleared, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 39 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 4 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Rebounds: 5 in 40 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 38.6; 10 games · 35.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2351 book	—	7/10
−1061 book	−1251 book	6/10
+2001 book	—	4/10
+7501 book	—	2/10
+17001 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−106Best	−125Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

No move since first seen

Jamal Murray's full game log and splits