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Jalen JohnsonDay-To-Day

Atlanta Hawks · F · #1

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −2602 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Jock Landale: Out (hip)

    Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 12; with him: 15 of 26 (38 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    WSH allow 3.6 steals a game to forwards: 9th most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (78 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at IND

    3rd straight road game · Johnson sat the last game (Nov 2)

Game log against Under 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NY, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 35 min
  2. at NY, 2026-04-28: 2, missed, 35 min
  3. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 0, hit, 32 min
  4. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 28 min
  5. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 29 min
  6. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 38 min
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 36 min
  8. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 36 min
  9. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 34 min
  10. at NO, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 28 min
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 9 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

  • Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG

  • CJ McCollumG

  • Aaron WigginsG

  • Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Johnson didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; steals the last time Johnson faced them: 2 (Feb 24)

Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
0.9
−0.6 vs line
Median
0
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
72%
at −260
Books’ fair
66%
margin removed
Our chance
71%
estimate · fair −240

Research, not a pick. At −227 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −240, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2612 books—6/10
+1692 books−2602 books6/10
+5202 books—9/10
+14002 books—10/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
DraftKings6 min ago+169−227Best
FanDuel5 min ago+188Best−260
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Jalen Johnson's full game log and splits