Jake LaRavia

Los Angeles Lakers · F · #12

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1213 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 2, cleared, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 1, missed, 10 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 18 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 15 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 19 min
at LAC, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 35 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 28 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 25 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 26 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 21 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 steals+blocks.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 27 min · 2026–27: 23.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
POR 14th, LAL 18th of 30

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Steals+Blocks: 3 in 19 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −149, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5303 books	—	10/10
−1213 books	−1121 book	8/10
+2303 books	—	4/10
+5253 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−121Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−121Best	−112Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−121Best	—

Prices as of 2:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jake LaRavia's full game log and splits