Jake LaRavia

Los Angeles Lakers · F · #12

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1573 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 1, cleared, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 10 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 18 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 15 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 19 min
at LAC, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 35 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 28 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 25 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 26 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 21 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
POR allow 4.3 threes made a game to forwards: 21st most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27 min · 2026–27: 23.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 19 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1573 books	+1152 books	7/10
+2803 books	—	4/10
+8003 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−157Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−157Best	+115Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−157Best	+115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jake LaRavia's full game log and splits