Jake LaRavia

Los Angeles Lakers · F · #12

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Rebounds, typical price −1623 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 1, missed, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 10 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 18 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 15 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 19 min
at LAC, 2026-10-28: 10, cleared, 35 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 28 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 25 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 26 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 2, missed, 21 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.3–7 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
POR allow 20.7 rebounds a game to forwards: 9th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27 min · 2026–27: 23.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 231.5 (6 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Rebounds: 1 in 19 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4352 books	—	7/10
−1623 books	+1261 book	3/10
+1383 books	−1902 books	3/10
+2652 books	—	1/10
+4803 books	—	1/10
+18001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
betPARX4 min ago	−162Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−162Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	−168	+126Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−172 → −162 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jake LaRavia's full game log and splits