Jake LaRavia
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.3–7 rebounds.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs forwards
POR allow 20.7 rebounds a game to forwards: 9th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27 min · 2026–27: 23.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 231.5 (7 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Rebounds: 1 in 19 min, Oct 27 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −160
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4353 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1606 books | +1223 books | 3/10 | |
| +1336 books | −1824 books | 3/10 | |
| +2655 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +9702 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +16802 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −159Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −159Best | — |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −159Best | — |
| Bovada6 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −161 | +122 |
| FanDuel6 min ago | −166 | +124Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5−172 → −160 since first seen