Grayson Allen
CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Over 4.5 in 6 of 8.
TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Over 4.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 4.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Over 4.5 with CHA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 25.6 min · 2026–27: 26.4 (8 games)
Game log against Over 4.5
75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel
Over 4.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.6–9.1 reb+ast.
Splits
Over 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L20Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BKN
Reb+Ast: 7 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 4.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against BKN on record
L20 · Without Knueppel · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 6 of 8
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −146
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −143 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Knueppel| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1462 books | +1082 books | 6/8 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings8 min ago | −143Best | +108 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −146 | +110Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5Over: −154 → −146 since first seen


