Grayson Allen
CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Over 15.5 in 6 of 8.
TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Over 15.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 15.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Over 15.5 with CHA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs guards
BKN allow 91.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 11th most of 30
7 games
Game log against Over 15.5
75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel
Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 8.5–28.4 pts+reb+ast.
Splits
Over 15.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 15.5 · L20Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BKN
Pts+Reb+Ast: 28 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 15.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record
L20 · Without Knueppel · Over 15.5
- Average
- 20.3
- +4.8 vs line
- Median
- 17
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 6 of 8
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −123
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Knueppel| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5881 book | — | 8/8 | |
| −2151 book | +1601 book | 6/8 | |
| −1602 books | +1201 book | 6/8 | |
| −1233 books | −1073 books | 6/8 | |
| +1001 book | −1301 book | 4/8 | |
| +1301 book | −1701 book | 4/8 | |
| +1881 book | — | 3/8 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 15.5 | Under 15.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −123 | −107 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
15.5Over −128 → −123 since first seen


