Grayson Allen

Charlotte Hornets · G · #8

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1654 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Under 2.5 with CHA: 3 of 8; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs guards
BKN allow 9.1 threes made a game to guards: 5th most of 30
7 games

38%3 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 3 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

at MIL, 2026-03-10: 2, hit, 26 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-03-13: 1, hit, 29 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-03-16: 2, hit, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-03-24: 5, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-03-28: 4, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-31: 2, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at CHA, 2026-04-02: 2, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-05: 1, hit, 16 min (not counted)
vs HOU, 2026-04-07: 0, hit, 26 min (not counted)
at LAL, 2026-04-10: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 2, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 2, hit, 21 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 5, missed, 29 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 20 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 34 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 2, hit, 28 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 30 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 21 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 7, missed, 30 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 19 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

3-Pointers Made: 5 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 2.5

Average: 3.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 38%; 3 of 8
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −156 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−12003 books	—	0/8
−2253 books	+1801 book	1/8
+1254 books	−1654 books	3/8
+3003 books	—	5/8
+7003 books	—	6/8
+14003 books	—	7/8
+28003 books	—	7/8

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	+117	−156Best
Bovada5 min ago	+125	−165
DraftKings5 min ago	+125	−165
FanDuel4 min ago	+128Best	−172
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −172 → −165 since first seen

Grayson Allen's full game log and splits