Grayson Allen
CHA @ BKN · LiveGame log against Over 10.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 4.7–21.7 points.
What's different yesterday
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 10.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Over 10.5 with CHA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs guards
BKN allow 59.0 points a game to guards: 11th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 25.6 min · 2026–27: 26.4 (8 games)
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L10Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelG
Grant WilliamsFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BKN
Points: 21 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 13.8
- +3.3 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −111 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5602 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2782 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1522 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1133 books | −1172 books | 7/10 | |
| +1102 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1751 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +2411 book | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings12 hr ago | −111Best | −115Best |
| Pinnacle12 hr ago | −113 | −117 |
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | −118 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5Over: −119 → −113 since first seen
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


