Grayson Allen

Charlotte Hornets · G · #8

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1506 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
BKN allow 17.1 assists a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Under 2.5 with CHA: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10

50%4 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 4 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

at MIL, 2026-03-10: 3, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-03-13: 6, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-03-16: 2, hit, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-03-24: 3, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-03-28: 3, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-31: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at CHA, 2026-04-02: 1, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-05: 2, hit, 16 min (not counted)
vs HOU, 2026-04-07: 2, hit, 26 min (not counted)
at LAL, 2026-04-10: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 1, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 3, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 29 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 20 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 5, missed, 34 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 28 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 30 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 2, hit, 21 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 30 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 19 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 assists.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Assists: 4 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−14304 books	—	1/8
−2455 books	+1901 book	2/8
+1126 books	−1505 books	4/8
+2555 books	—	6/8
+5255 books	—	7/8
+11802 books	—	8/8
+22002 books	—	8/8

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel8 min ago	+112	−148Best
betPARX8 min ago	+112	−150
Bovada13 min ago	+115	−150
BetRivers8 min ago	+112	−152
DraftKings13 min ago	+116Best	−152
Bally Bet13 min ago	+112	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −154 → −150 since first seen

Grayson Allen's full game log and splits