Grayson Allen

Charlotte Hornets · G · #8

Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1193 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Over 10.5 in 6 of 8.

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Over 10.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 10.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Over 10.5 with CHA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs guards
BKN allow 59.0 points a game to guards: 11th most of 30
7 games

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

at MIL, 2026-03-10: 12, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-03-13: 15, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-03-16: 13, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-03-24: 21, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-03-28: 19, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-31: 10, missed, 32 min (not counted)
at CHA, 2026-04-02: 13, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-05: 6, missed, 16 min (not counted)
vs HOU, 2026-04-07: 8, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at LAL, 2026-04-10: 8, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 7, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 12, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 11, cleared, 20 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 20, cleared, 34 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 28 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 30 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 5, missed, 21 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 27, cleared, 30 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.7–21.7 points.

Splits

Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Points: 21 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Over 10.5

Average: 14.9; +4.4 vs line
Median: 13; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 54%; at −119
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5751 book	—	7/8
−2831 book	—	7/8
−1563 books	—	6/8
−1193 books	−1073 books	6/8
+1101 book	—	4/8
+2303 books	—	4/8
+4301 book	—	3/8

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−118Best	−112
DraftKings7 min ago	−119	−107
Pinnacle7 min ago	−129	−103Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over: No move since first seen

Grayson Allen's full game log and splits