Grayson Allen
CHA @ BKN · LiveGame log against Under 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–4 assists.
What's different yesterday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayDefense vs guards
BKN allow 17.1 assists a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with CHA; before that, PHX
Under 2.5 with CHA: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 25.6 min · 2026–27: 26.4 (8 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelG
Grant WilliamsFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BKN
Assists: 4 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against BKN on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −163
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −163 the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2751 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +1022 books | −1631 book | 5/10 | |
| +2352 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +4802 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +13401 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +24001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings21 hr ago | +124Best | −163Best |
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | +102 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −154 → −163 since first seen
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


