Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 10.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 6–16.6 rebounds.
What's different today
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
New team
8 games with MIA; before that, MIL
Over 10.5 with MIA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs forwards
GS allow 17.9 rebounds a game to forwards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GS in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L10Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs GS
Antetokounmpo didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; rebounds the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 10 (Jan 7)
Over 10.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against GS on record
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 12.1
- +1.6 vs line
- Median
- 13
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Over 10.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −133.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.511.5 → 10.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 10:10 PM ET.


