Giannis Antetokounmpo

Miami Heat · F · #7

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under28.5

Over 28.5 Points, typical price −1226 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 28.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at MIA, 2026-03-12: 31, cleared, 29 min
vs IND, 2026-03-15: 31, cleared, 23 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 35, cleared, 30 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 36, cleared, 33 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 14, missed, 25 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 29, cleared, 39 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 24, missed, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 31, cleared, 31 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 30, cleared, 34 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 27, missed, 41 min

ClearedMissedThe 28.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
New team
8 games with MIA; before that, MIL
Over 28.5 with MIA: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Defense vs forwards
GS allow 41.6 points a game to forwards: 18th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)

Splits

Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Over 28.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 28.5 · L10

Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Antetokounmpo didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; points the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 34 (Jan 7)

Over 28.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against GS on record

L10 · Over 28.5

Average: 28.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 30.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 31.6; 10 games · 28.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 28.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2205 books	+1601 book	8/10
−1802 books	+1351 book	8/10
−1505 books	−1112 books	7/10
−1226 books	−1105 books	7/10
−1036 books	−1301 book	6/10
+1202 books	−1601 book	5/10
+1405 books	−1901 book	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 28.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 28.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 28.5	Under 28.5
Pinnacle3 min ago	+103Best	−136
DraftKings3 min ago	−115	−111
Bovada3 min ago	−120	−110Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−122	—
betPARX1 min ago	−122	−110Best
BetRivers1 min ago	−122	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

28.5

29.5 → 28.5 since first seen

Giannis Antetokounmpo's full game log and splits