Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
New team
8 games with MIA; before that, MIL
Over 0.5 with MIA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs forwards
GS allow 1.4 blocks a game to forwards: 24th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GS in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs GS
Antetokounmpo didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; blocks the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 0 (Jan 7)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against GS on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- at −195
- Books’ fair
- 62%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −144
Research, not a pick. At −187 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −144, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1954 books | +1431 book | 7/10 | |
| +2254 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7901 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +19401 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings6 min ago | −187Best | — |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −195 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −195 | +143Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −195 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:42 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −172 → −195 since first seen


