Giannis Antetokounmpo

Miami Heat · F · #7

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Rebounds, typical price −1427 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at MIA, 2026-03-12: 6, missed, 29 min
vs IND, 2026-03-15: 14, cleared, 23 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 30 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 12, cleared, 33 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 6, missed, 25 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 39 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 18, cleared, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 18, cleared, 31 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 12, cleared, 34 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 14, cleared, 41 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 6–16.6 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
New team
8 games with MIA; before that, MIL
Over 10.5 with MIA: 6 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs forwards
GS allow 17.9 rebounds a game to forwards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10

Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Antetokounmpo didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; rebounds the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 10 (Jan 7)

Over 10.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against GS on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average: 12.1; +1.6 vs line
Median: 13; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −142
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −134 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5905 books	—	7/10
−3455 books	—	7/10
−2206 books	+1651 book	7/10
−1427 books	+1054 books	7/10
+1026 books	−1393 books	7/10
+1486 books	−2301 book	5/10
+2105 books	—	5/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
DraftKings1 min ago	−134Best	+102
Bovada1 min ago	−135	+105
FanDuel1 min ago	−136	+106
Pinnacle1 min ago	−142	+107Best
Bally Bet1 min ago	−143	—
betPARX1 min ago	−143	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−143	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

11.5 → 10.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Rest−3%

Giannis Antetokounmpo's full game log and splits