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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Miami Heat · F · #7

MIA @ LAC · Live
OverUnder47.5
Under 47.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 47.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 47.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs PHX, 2026-03-10: 31, hit, 32 min
  2. at MIA, 2026-03-12: 40, hit, 29 min
  3. vs IND, 2026-03-15: 53, missed, 23 min
  4. vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 42, hit, 30 min
  5. vs DET, 2026-10-23: 53, missed, 33 min
  6. at CHA, 2026-10-24: 23, hit, 25 min
  7. vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 55, missed, 39 min
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-28: 45, hit, 31 min
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-30: 59, missed, 31 min
  10. at LAL, 2026-11-02: 49, missed, 34 min
Under hitMissedThe 47.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 28.4–57.3 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 47.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayDefense vs forwards

    LAC allow 58.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 28th most of 30

    7 games

  • New team

    7 games with MIA; before that, MIL

    Under 47.5 with MIA: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (36 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL

Splits

Under 47.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Under 47.5 hit in 1 of 3 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 47.5 · L10

  • Bam AdebayoC

  • Pelle LarssonG

  • Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Antetokounmpo didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 35 (Feb 20, 2025)

Under 47.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against LAC on record

L10 · Under 47.5

Average
45
−2.5 vs line
Median
47
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
52%
at −110
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2022 books—4/10
−1601 book+1201 book5/10
−1351 book+1051 book5/10
−1203 books−1102 books5/10
−1112 books−1252 books5/10
+1103 books−1451 book6/10
+2182 books—8/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 47.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 47.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 47.5Under 47.5
Pinnacle25 hr ago−124−107Best
Bovada25 hr ago−120−110
Bally Bet25 hr ago−107Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

47.5

48.5 → 47.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Giannis Antetokounmpo's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.