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Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-Day

Miami Heat · F · #7

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM
OverUnder48.5
Under 48.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 48.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayDefense vs forwards

    LAC allow 58.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 28th most of 30

    7 games

  • New team

    7 games with MIA; before that, MIL

    Under 48.5 with MIA: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (36 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL

Game log against Under 48.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 48.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs PHX, 2026-03-10: 31, hit, 32 min
  2. at MIA, 2026-03-12: 40, hit, 29 min
  3. vs IND, 2026-03-15: 53, missed, 23 min
  4. vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 42, hit, 30 min
  5. vs DET, 2026-10-23: 53, missed, 33 min
  6. at CHA, 2026-10-24: 23, hit, 25 min
  7. vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 55, missed, 39 min
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-28: 45, hit, 31 min
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-30: 59, missed, 31 min
  10. at LAL, 2026-11-02: 49, missed, 34 min
Under hitMissedThe 48.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 28.4–57.3 pts+reb+ast.

Splits

Under 48.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Under 48.5 hit in 1 of 3 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 48.5 · L10

  • Bam AdebayoC

  • Pelle LarssonG

  • Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Antetokounmpo didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Antetokounmpo faced them: 35 (Feb 20, 2025)

Under 48.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against LAC on record

L10 · Under 48.5

Average
45
−3.5 vs line
Median
47
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2111 book—4/10
−1501 book+1151 book5/10
−1301 book+1001 book5/10
−1153 books−1143 books5/10
−1012 books−1301 book6/10
+1151 book−1501 book6/10
+2001 book—8/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 48.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 48.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 48.5Under 48.5
DraftKings4 min ago−115−114Best
FanDuel3 min ago−114Best−114Best
Bovada3 min ago−115−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

48.5

−108 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Giannis Antetokounmpo's full game log and splits