Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

ATL @ WSH · Live

Over Under24.5

Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1345 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at NY, 2026-04-28: 24, hit, 25 min
vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit, 15 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 27, missed, 35 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 24, hit, 23 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 29, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 8, hit, 28 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 18, hit, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 15, hit, 32 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 15, hit, 27 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 19, hit, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 24.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 10.8–30.6 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his last 5 came with Jalen Johnson playing; Johnson is out yesterday. Without him: Under 24.5 in 5 of 9.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 24.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 40 of 81 (90 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs guards
WSH allow 72.3 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 24.5 without him: 8 of 13; with him: 13 of 27 (40 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.2 min · 2026–27: 29.1 (8 games)

Splits

Under 24.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 24.5 hit in 4 of 7 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 24.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Pts+Reb+Ast: 28 in 33 min, Feb 26 (home)

Under 24.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 24.5

Average: 18.2; −6.3 vs line
Median: 18.5; −6 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −111 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−23001 book	—	2/10
−3972 books	—	6/10
+1005 books	−1342 books	8/10
+2412 books	—	10/10
+6601 book	—	10/10
+16601 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 24.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 24.5	Under 24.5
DraftKings15 hr ago	−119	−111Best
Pinnacle15 hr ago	+102Best	−134
Bally Bet15 hr ago	+100	—
betPARX15 hr ago	+100	—
BetRivers15 hr ago	+100	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

24.5

22.5 → 24.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.