Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Under 17.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1085 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 17.5 Pts+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit, 15 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 23, missed, 35 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 15, hit, 23 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 21, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 8, hit, 28 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 14, hit, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 9, hit, 32 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 11, hit, 27 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 10, hit, 31 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 16, hit, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 17.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7–23.4 pts+ast.

What's different today

Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 17.5 without him: 10 of 14; with him: 15 of 27 (41 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2026–27: 29.7 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH
Game lines
ATL −7.5 · total 228.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 232.5 on average (9 games)

Splits

Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 17.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Pts+Ast: 16 in 34 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 17.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 17.5

Average: 13; −4.5 vs line
Median: 12.5; −5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	3/10
−2864 books	—	6/10
−1255 books	−1083 books	8/10
+1304 books	—	8/10
+3904 books	—	10/10
+13401 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−125	−106Best
betPARX4 min ago	−125	−108
DraftKings12 min ago	−118Best	−112
Bally Bet12 min ago	−125	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−125	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

18.5 → 17.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits