Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under19.5

Under 19.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1342 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 19.5 Pts+Reb hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit, 15 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 24, missed, 35 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 20, missed, 23 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 26, missed, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 4, hit, 28 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 11, hit, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 10, hit, 32 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 12, hit, 27 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 15, hit, 31 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 25, missed, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 19.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 8.3–26.4 pts+reb.

What's different today

Under 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 19.5 without him: 9 of 14; with him: 14 of 27 (41 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2026–27: 29.7 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH
Game lines
ATL −7.5 · total 228.5 (6 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 232.5 on average (9 games)

Splits

Under 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 19.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Pts+Reb: 25 in 34 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 19.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 19.5

Average: 15; −4.5 vs line
Median: 13.5; −6 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −134 the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3752 books	—	5/10
−1301 book	−1021 book	6/10
−1032 books	−1341 book	6/10
+2852 books	—	8/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
betPARX1 min ago	−103Best	−134Best
BetRivers1 min ago	−103Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

Under: −130 → −134 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits