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Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder5.5
Under 5.5 Assists, typical price −1527 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Jock Landale: Out (hip)

    Under 5.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 19 of 27 (40 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    WSH allow 15.1 assists a game to guards: 18th most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 29.2 min · 2026–27: 29.1 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at IND

    3rd straight road game

Game log against Under 5.5

90%9 of 10L10

Under 5.5 Assists hit in 9 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 on the road).

  1. at NY, 2026-04-28: 5, hit, 25 min
  2. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 0, hit, 15 min
  3. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 35 min
  4. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 4, hit, 23 min
  5. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 3, hit, 29 min
  6. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 4, hit, 28 min
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 7, missed, 28 min
  8. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 5, hit, 32 min
  9. at NO, 2026-10-31: 3, hit, 27 min
  10. at IND, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 31 min
Under hitMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

Splits

Under 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 5.5 hit in 4 of 7 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 5.5 · L10

  • Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day

  • Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG

  • CJ McCollumG

  • Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Assists: 11 in 33 min, Feb 26 (home)

Under 5.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 5.5

Average
3.8
−1.7 vs line
Median
4
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
60%
at −152
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
62%
estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −149 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −164, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−11155 books—1/10
−3755 books—4/10
−1755 books+1301 book7/10
+1127 books−1526 books9/10
+2005 books—9/10
+3505 books—10/10
+6301 book—10/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 5.5Under 5.5
Pinnacle6 min ago+112−149Best
betPARX7 min ago+112−150
Bovada5 min ago+115−150
BetRivers7 min ago+110−152
DraftKings6 min ago+115−152
FanDuel6 min ago+116Best−154
Bally Bet6 min ago+112—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

−144 → −152 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits