Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Under 5.5 Assists, typical price −1306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 5.5 Assists hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs NY, 2026-04-30: 0, hit, 15 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 35 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 4, hit, 23 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 3, hit, 29 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 4, hit, 28 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 7, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 5, hit, 32 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 3, hit, 27 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 31 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 8, missed, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

What's different today

Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 5.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 19 of 27 (41 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
WSH allow 16.3 assists a game to guards: 11th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2026–27: 29.7 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH

Splits

Under 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 5.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Assists: 8 in 34 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 5.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 5.5

Average: 4.1; −1.4 vs line
Median: 4; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−12504 books	—	1/10
−4355 books	—	4/10
−2004 books	—	7/10
−1046 books	−1305 books	8/10
+1754 books	—	8/10
+3005 books	—	9/10
+5004 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
betPARX4 min ago	−104	−130Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−104	−130Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−101	−130Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+102	−136
Pinnacle5 min ago	+108Best	−143
Bally Bet5 min ago	−104	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:56 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

7.5 → 5.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits