Donovan Clingan

Portland Trail Blazers · C · #23

POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET

The line

Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

−1205 sportsbooksbest −118

Game log

Under 23.5

Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 10 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 on the road).

at SA: 12, hit
at SA: 21, hit
vs SA: 20, hit
vs SA: 11, hit
at SA: 21, hit
vs PHX: 20, hit
at SAC: 21, hit
at LAL: 20, hit
vs MEM: 20, hit
at UTAH: 13, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.8–31.1 pts+reb+ast.

Home and away

L10 · Under 23.5

Home

100%

4 of 4

Awaytonight

100%

6 of 6

L10 · Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

Average: 17.9; −5.6 vs line
Median: 20; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 55%; −120, 5 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 23.5	Under 23.5
betPARX9 min ago	−112	−118Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−113	−120
Bovada9 min ago	−110	−120
DraftKings13 min ago	−107Best	−123
Bally Bet9 min ago	−112	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET.

Every posted line

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8952 books	—	3/10
−2755 books	—	3/10
−2151 book	+1601 book	7/10
−1701 book	+1301 book	10/10
−1302 books	+1012 books	10/10
−1125 books	−1204 books	10/10
+1085 books	−1451 book	10/10
+2655 books	—	10/10
+8132 books	—	10/10
+17592 books	—	10/10