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Donovan Clingan
POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET
The line
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −2056 sportsbooksbest −190
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Home
100%
4 of 4
Awaytonight
50%
3 of 6
L10 · Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- −205, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −175
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −190 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −175, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada1 hr ago | −190Best | +145 |
| DraftKings2 hr ago | −192 | +145 |
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −205 | — |
| betPARX1 hr ago | −205 | +150 |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | −210 | +150 |
| FanDuel1 hr ago | −210 | +162Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2056 books | +1505 books | 7/10 | |
| +2226 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +6976 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +20003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +40001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%