Donovan Clingan
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 12.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 12.5 Pts+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1.3–19.3 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 12.5
- Average
- 9.6
- −2.9 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −101 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −31001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −3054 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1701 book | +1301 book | 7/10 | |
| −1246 books | −1074 books | 8/10 | |
| +1051 book | −1351 book | 9/10 | |
| +1384 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +4631 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings16 hr ago | −130 | −101Best |
| Bovada16 hr ago | −125 | −105 |
| betPARX16 hr ago | −124 | −110 |
| FanDuel16 hr ago | −108Best | −122 |
| Bally Bet16 hr ago | −124 | — |
| BetRivers16 hr ago | −124 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.