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De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs · G · #4

UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1577 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 1.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

  1. vs NY, 2026-06-05: 2, missed
  2. at NY, 2026-06-08: 0, hit
  3. at NY, 2026-06-10: 4, missed
  4. vs NY, 2026-06-13: 1, hit
  5. vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 0, hit
  6. vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 2, missed
  7. at DAL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed
  8. vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 2, missed
  9. at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 1, hit
  10. vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 0, hit
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
1.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −157
Books’ fair
58%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4303 books—3/10
+1227 books−1576 books5/10
+3806 books—9/10
+9006 books—9/10
+21002 books—10/10
+35001 book—10/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bovada15 hr ago+115−150Best
DraftKings15 hr ago+116−153
FanDuel15 hr ago+122−156
Pinnacle15 hr ago+118−158
betPARX15 hr ago+130Best−177
BetRivers15 hr ago+130Best−180
Bally Bet15 hr ago+130Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+3%
De'Aaron Fox's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.