Darius Garland

LA Clippers · G · #10

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over Under24.5

Under 24.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 24.5 Pts+Reb hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 23, hit, 28 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 21, hit, 41 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 16, hit, 27 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 31, missed, 32 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 26, missed, 37 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 20, hit, 36 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 15, hit, 26 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 26, missed, 31 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 15, hit, 33 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 20, hit, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 24.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 14.5–31.2 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Under 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Under 24.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: 13 of 18 (26 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Under 24.5 without him: 17 of 26; with him: no games (26 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 32.4 min · 2025–26: 29.8 (45 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs TOR

Splits

Under 24.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Under 24.5 hit in 7 of 9 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 24.5 · L10

Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Brook LopezC
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Garland didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb the last time Garland faced them: 16 (Nov 10, 2025)

Under 24.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against MIA on record

L10 · Under 24.5

Average: 21.3; −3.2 vs line
Median: 20.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −115 the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11401 book	—	0/10
−3152 books	—	3/10
−1451 book	+1101 book	7/10
−1154 books	−1151 book	7/10
−1202 books	−1352 books	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	9/10
+2102 books	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 24.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 24.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 24.5	Under 24.5
Bovada7 hr ago	−115	−115Best
Bally Bet7 hr ago	−114	—
betPARX7 hr ago	−115	—
DraftKings7 hr ago	−112Best	—

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

24.5

−125 → −115 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Darius Garland's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.