Collin Gillespie

Phoenix Suns · G · #12

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1507 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at OKC, 2026-04-19: 2, hit, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 6, missed, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 10, missed, 33 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 2, hit, 29 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 21 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 3, hit, 33 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 3, hit, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.1–6.7 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 3.5 without him: 17 of 31; with him: 26 of 59 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 3.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 35 of 75 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ORL allow 16.7 rebounds a game to guards: 8th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Under 3.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Rebounds: 2 in 27 min, Mar 31 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ORL on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 3.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5904 books	—	3/10
−2106 books	+1551 book	5/10
+1107 books	−1506 books	7/10
+2206 books	—	8/10
+4005 books	—	8/10
+6506 books	—	9/10
+15002 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+107	−141Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	+108	−144
Bovada5 min ago	+110	−145
betPARX5 min ago	+110	−150
BetRivers5 min ago	+110	−150
FanDuel5 min ago	+122Best	−156
Bally Bet6 min ago	+110	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under: −154 → −150 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Collin Gillespie's full game log and splits