Collin Gillespie
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Under 13.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 13.5 Pts+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.9–21.6 pts+ast.
What's different today
Under 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 13.5 without him: 15 of 31; with him: 18 of 59 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 13.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 27 of 75 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (84 games)
Splits
Under 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Under 13.5 hit in 0 of 2 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 13.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Pts+Ast: 14 in 27 min, Mar 31 (away)
Under 13.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against ORL on record
L10 · Under 13.5
- Average
- 12.5
- −1 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −127
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3355 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1851 book | +1401 book | 5/10 | |
| −1351 book | +1051 book | 6/10 | |
| −1086 books | −1274 books | 7/10 | |
| +1205 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3505 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +12802 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 13.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 13.5 | Under 13.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −112 | −118Best |
| Bovada7 min ago | −105 | −125 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −108 | −127 |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −103Best | −128 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −108 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −108 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
13.5Under: −118 → −127 since first seen


