Collin Gillespie

Phoenix Suns · G · #12

ORL @ PHX · Live

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1883 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at OKC, 2026-04-19: 2, hit, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 1, hit, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 1, hit, 33 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 6, missed, 29 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 21 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 2, hit, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 4, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 2.5 without him: 17 of 31; with him: 23 of 59 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 34 of 75 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ORL allow 7.4 threes made a game to guards: 14th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 27 min, Mar 31 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ORL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −188
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −202

Research, not a pick. At −188 the price beats our fair −202, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9301 book	—	2/10
−2002 books	+1431 book	5/10
+1403 books	−1881 book	7/10
+3202 books	—	8/10
+6502 books	—	9/10
+17601 book	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle26 min ago	+140	−188Best
Bally Bet26 min ago	+138	—
DraftKings26 min ago	+146Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−192 → −188 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Collin Gillespie's full game log and splits