Collin Gillespie

Phoenix Suns · G · #12

ORL @ PHX · Live

Over Under7.5

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1452 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at OKC, 2026-04-19: 4, hit, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 12, missed, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 15, missed, 33 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 4, hit, 29 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 21 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 13, missed, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 3, hit, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 13, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 3, hit, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 5, hit, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1.6–12.4 reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 7.5 without him: 16 of 31; with him: 22 of 59 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 7.5 without him: 7 of 15; with him: 31 of 75 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (84 games)

Splits

Under 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 7.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Reb+Ast: 5 in 27 min, Mar 31 (away)

Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ORL on record

L10 · Under 7.5

Average: 7.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 4.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −145 the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5752 books	—	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10
+1102 books	−1451 book	6/10
+2752 books	—	6/10
+7001 book	—	6/10
+22001 book	—	9/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
DraftKings15 hr ago	+110	−145Best
Bally Bet15 hr ago	+114Best	—

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

6.5 → 7.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Collin Gillespie's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.