Christian Braun
TOR @ DEN · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 5 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 23; with him: 7 of 33 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
TOR allow 3.7 steals a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Steals: 0 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 41%
- at +145
- Books’ fair
- 34%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 33.4
- 10 games · 31.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 34%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3053 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +1453 books | −2331 book | 6/10 | |
| +4303 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +11002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 hr ago | +173Best | −233Best |
| Bally Bet11 hr ago | +145 | — |
| Bovada11 hr ago | +142 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: +140 → +145 since first seen
This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.


