Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Christian Braun

Denver Nuggets · G · #0

TOR @ DEN · Live
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1453 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

  1. at MIN, 2026-04-23: 0, missed, 24 min
  2. at MIN, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 34 min
  3. vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 3, cleared, 31 min
  4. at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 28 min
  5. at OKC, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 33 min
  6. vs NO, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 40 min
  7. vs GS, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 34 min
  8. at NO, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 36 min
  9. at PHX, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 37 min
  10. vs POR, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 37 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)

    Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 5 of 6 (6 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)

    Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 23; with him: 7 of 33 (56 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    TOR allow 3.7 steals a game to guards: 22nd most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10
  • Nikola JokicC

  • Jamal MurrayG

  • Aaron GordonF

  • DeMar DeRozanGOut

  • Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Steals: 0 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
41%
at +145
Books’ fair
34%
margin removed
Minutes
33.4
10 games · 31.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 34%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3053 books—8/10
+1453 books−2331 book6/10
+4303 books—4/10
+11002 books—0/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
DraftKings11 hr ago+173Best−233Best
Bally Bet11 hr ago+145—
Bovada11 hr ago+142—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +140 → +145 since first seen

Christian Braun's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.