Cameron Johnson
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.7–10.9 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −146
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −127
Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −127, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2784 books | +2001 book | 5/10 | |
| −1466 books | +1094 books | 4/10 | |
| +1201 book | −1601 book | 4/10 | |
| +5253 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel20 hr ago | −128Best | +100 |
| DraftKings20 hr ago | −144 | +109 |
| Bovada20 hr ago | −145 | +110Best |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −148 | — |
| betPARX20 hr ago | −148 | +110Best |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | −148 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.