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Cameron Johnson
POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET
The line
Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks
Typical price −1704 sportsbooksbest −139
Game log
Under 1.5Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals+blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Under 1.5Hometonight
80%
4 of 5
Away
80%
4 of 5
L10 · Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks
- Average
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 63%
- −170, 4 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −153
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −139 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −153, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX5 min ago | +102 | −139Best |
| DraftKings9 min ago | +156Best | −209 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +102 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +102 | — |
Prices as of 8:17 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4553 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1024 books | −1702 books | 8/10 | |
| +2954 books | — | 9/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%