Cameron Johnson
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −185
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −184 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −19001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| −2105 books | +1562 books | 3/10 | |
| +1385 books | −1854 books | 6/10 | |
| +3305 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +7005 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +17202 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +28001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings19 hr ago | +139 | −184Best |
| Bovada19 hr ago | +140Best | −185 |
| betPARX19 hr ago | +138 | −186 |
| BetRivers19 hr ago | +138 | −190 |
| Bally Bet19 hr ago | +138 | — |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.