Brook Lopez

LA Clippers · C · #11

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1952 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 36 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 20 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 23 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 22 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs centers
MIA allow 0.7 blocks a game to centers: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 15; with him: 39 of 58 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 51 of 76; with him: 3 of 6 (82 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 21.8 (75 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lopez didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; blocks the last time Lopez faced them: 0 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −195
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −182

Research, not a pick. At −185 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −182, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1952 books	5/10
	+2302 books	1/10
	+7801 book	1/10
	+19601 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
DraftKings11 hr ago	−185Best
Bally Bet11 hr ago	−195

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −175 → −195 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Brook Lopez's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.