Brook Lopez

LA Clippers · C · #11

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under15.5

Over 15.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1232 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 15.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 19 of 58 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 15.5 without him: 25 of 76; with him: 1 of 6 (82 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 21.8 (75 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs TOR

70%7 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 22, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 27, cleared, 36 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 15, missed, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 28, cleared, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 26, cleared, 20 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 16, cleared, 23 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 22 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 19, cleared, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 9, missed, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 18, cleared, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 15.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.7–27.1 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 15.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 15.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lopez didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb the last time Lopez faced them: 6 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 15.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 15.5

Average: 18.5; +3 vs line
Median: 18.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −123
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6401 book	—	8/10
−1551 book	—	8/10
−1232 books	−1222 books	7/10
+2021 book	—	4/10
+5581 book	—	3/10
+14001 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−108Best	−122
DraftKings6 min ago	−123	−107Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

Over −114 → −123 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Brook Lopez's full game log and splits