Brook Lopez

LA Clippers · C · #11

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1552 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 15; with him: 36 of 58 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 48 of 76; with him: 4 of 6 (82 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
MIA allow 1.1 threes made a game to centers: 7th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 21.8 (75 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 3, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 5, missed, 36 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 1, hit, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 20 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 23 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 22 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lopez didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Lopez faced them: 1 (Nov 3, 2025)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4301 book	—	1/10
+1122 books	−1552 books	6/10
+3401 book	—	7/10
+9001 book	—	9/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+112	−148Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	+116Best	−155
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under −146 → −155 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Brook Lopez's full game log and splits