Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

45%9 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 9.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 9 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 11, cleared, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 9, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 1, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 16, cleared, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 11, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 17, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 7, missed, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 11, cleared, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 8, missed, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 5, missed, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 4, missed, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 4, missed, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 6, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 12, cleared, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 11, cleared, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 11, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 16, cleared, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 29 of 50; with him: 13 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 9.5 without him: 13 of 20; with him: 7 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 13 of 28; with him: 29 of 65 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (82 games)

Splits

Over 9.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 9.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Reb+Ast: 10 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 9.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 9.5

Average: 8.6; −0.9 vs line
Median: 8.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 45%; 9 of 20
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−40002 books	—	16/20
−3101 book	—	11/20
−1901 book	+1451 book	10/20
−1106 books	−1184 books	9/20
+1301 book	−1701 book	9/20
+2101 book	—	4/20
+6505 books	—	3/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−103Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−103Best	−134
BetRivers2 min ago	−103Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−110	−118
DraftKings3 min ago	−117	−112
Bovada2 min ago	−120	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

Over: +110 → −110 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits