Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1357 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

35%7 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 1, missed, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 2, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 0, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 2, missed, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 2, missed, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 3, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 5, cleared, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 2, missed, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 2, missed, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 4, cleared, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 1, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 2, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 50; with him: 11 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 10.5 threes made a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 20; with him: 5 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 28; with him: 15 of 65 (93 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 35%; 7 of 20
Price implies: 43%; at +135
Books’ fair: 40%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−12003 books	—	18/20
−2156 books	+1751 book	16/20
+1357 books	−1856 books	7/20
+3106 books	—	3/20
+6506 books	—	1/20
+16603 books	—	0/20
+28001 book	—	0/20

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+144Best	−186
Pinnacle4 min ago	+138	−185
Bally Bet4 min ago	+135	—
betPARX3 min ago	+135	−182
BetRivers4 min ago	+135	−186
Bovada3 min ago	+130	−170Best
DraftKings4 min ago	+130	−173
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +158 → +135 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits