Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price +1711 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

35%7 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 1, missed, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 2, cleared, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 0, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 2, cleared, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 0, missed, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 2, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 3, cleared, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 1, missed, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 1, missed, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 21 of 50; with him: 17 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 20; with him: 8 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 28; with him: 28 of 65 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (82 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Steals+Blocks: 1 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 35%; 7 of 20
Price implies: 37%; at +171
Books’ fair: 35%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 35%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1711 book	−2301 book	7/20

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+171Best	−230Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +164 → +171 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits