Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1095 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%10 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 21.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 10 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 16, missed, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 21, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 5, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 30, cleared, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 28, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 32, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 28, cleared, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 20, missed, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 29, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 20, missed, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 21, missed, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 18, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 33, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 14, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 20, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 25, cleared, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 13, missed, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 26, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 25, cleared, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 23, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 21.5 without him: 22 of 50; with him: 7 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 21.5 without him: 11 of 20; with him: 8 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 21.5 without him: 14 of 28; with him: 15 of 65 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (82 games)

Splits

Over 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 21.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Pts+Reb: 30 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 21.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 21.5

Average: 22.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 22; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 10 of 20
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5605 books	—	17/20
−1625 books	—	15/20
−1701 book	+1301 book	12/20
−1095 books	−1063 books	10/20
−1102 books	−1202 books	10/20
+1635 books	—	9/20
+3805 books	—	3/20

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−109Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−109Best	−124
BetRivers4 min ago	−109Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−120	−106
Bovada6 min ago	−135	+105Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

20.5 → 21.5 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits