Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under20.5

Over 20.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1186 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

65%13 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 20.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 13 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 15, missed, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 18, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 6, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 26, cleared, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 27, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 29, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 25, cleared, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 19, missed, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 29, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 21, cleared, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 23, cleared, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 18, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 31, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 12, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 21, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 23, cleared, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 27, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 25, cleared, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 22, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 20.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 20.5 without him: 24 of 50; with him: 11 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 20.5 without him: 12 of 20; with him: 9 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 20.5 without him: 16 of 28; with him: 19 of 65 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (82 games)

Splits

Over 20.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 20.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 20.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Pts+Ast: 28 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 20.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 20.5

Average: 21.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 22.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 65%; 13 of 20
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 20.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4555 books	—	17/20
−1395 books	+1201 book	13/20
−1186 books	−1124 books	13/20
+1001 book	−1301 book	11/20
+1905 books	—	8/20
+5002 books	—	1/20
+13802 books	—	0/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 20.5	Under 20.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−112Best	−121
BetRivers4 min ago	−112Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−118	−112
Bovada4 min ago	−125	−105
DraftKings4 min ago	−127	−103Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

19.5 → 20.5 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits