Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Assists, typical price −1756 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%10 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 10 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 5, cleared, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 3, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 1, missed, 24 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 6, cleared, 40 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 5, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 7, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 2, missed, 32 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 5, cleared, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 4, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 3, missed, 37 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 3, missed, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 1, missed, 24 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 1, missed, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 2, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 33 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 8, cleared, 37 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 28 of 50; with him: 17 of 43 (93 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 18.3 assists a game to guards: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 3.5 without him: 11 of 20; with him: 8 of 15 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 13 of 28; with him: 32 of 65 (93 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Assists: 4 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 3.5

Average: 3.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 10 of 20
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Minutes: 31; 20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 60%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20004 books	—	17/20
−4205 books	—	14/20
−1756 books	+1302 books	10/20
pick'em only	pick'em only	9/20
+1235 books	−1673 books	9/20
+2305 books	—	5/20
+4305 books	—	2/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−174Best	+130
Bally Bet4 min ago	−175	—
betPARX3 min ago	−175	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−175	—
DraftKings4 min ago	−178	—
Pinnacle4 min ago	−178	+132Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −166 → −175 since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits