Bilal Coulibaly

Washington Wizards · G · #0

ATL @ WSH · Live

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 11.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at MIA, 2026-04-04: 15, cleared, 25 min
vs CHI, 2026-04-07: 22, cleared, 24 min
vs MIA, 2026-04-10: 30, cleared, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 13, cleared, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 17, cleared, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 11, missed, 25 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 8, missed, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 19, cleared, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 6, missed, 22 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 8, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 8.7–26.1 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 11.5 without him: 20 of 28; with him: 26 of 35 (63 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 22 of 34; with him: 24 of 29 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2025–26: 26.2 (56 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL

Splits

Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 8 of 10 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Pts+Reb: 15 in 22 min, Feb 26 (away)

Over 11.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 11.5

Average: 14.9; +3.4 vs line
Median: 14; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −149, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	10/10
−1912 books	—	7/10
−1052 books	−1281 book	6/10
+2052 books	—	5/10
+7901 book	—	2/10
+21001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
DraftKings24 hr ago	−103Best	−128Best
Bally Bet24 hr ago	−105	—

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

12.5 → 11.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bilal Coulibaly's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.